The Nationals have not taken Calare – which is one of the seats they basically claimed they had won before the election.
Andrew Gee is coming back as an independent.
Cowper is lineball.
Sat 3 May
Australia Institute Live: Election 2025 results. As it happened.
This blog, much like the 2025 election, is now closed.
Key posts
The Day's News
Dan Tehan, who is now one of the leadership contenders as a last person standing says:
Look, I’m going to be thinking about what has happened here. I’m going to be thinking about what has happened right across the country. But at the moment, I have to say, my thoughts are with my colleagues who have lost their seat. If it is confirmed that Peter Dutton has lost his seat, that means it’s an extremely difficult night for us tonight.
…We have got to consider everything that has happened. What we need is a proper review. A proper review of all the policies, a proper review of how we campaigned. And we have to do that, over a period of time. You can’t come out on the night of an election and say: This is what you should have done, this is what you shouldn’t have done. That is a for the cold, hard light of day then you have to analyse things and do it properly.
Adam Bandt is walking into the Greens party:
Jacinta Price:
There is a whole lot of mud you just slung right there, can I just say, in terms of wanting this country to be great. Donald Trump doesn’t own those four words. Right. Because the media can go through your personal Facebook photos, and find a picture that was taken, in jest, at Christmas time, and then smear you with it, that is the problem. That is the issue. It’s the smearing that goes on, certainly within the media, just as you are trying to talk about this seriously. I’m deadly serious about this issue.
Jacinta Price blames Labor and the media for her saying ‘make Australia Great Again’
Jacinta Price is being asked if she is to blame for Peter Dutton’s loss, given that she embraced Donald Trump – including that she said ‘Make Australia Great Again” at a time when the Coalition was trying to distance itself from Trump.
Price is NOT happy:
If you don’t think I’m addressing this seriously, I am addressing this deadly seriously, in that if you sling enough mud, it will stick. And absolutely, Labor, certainly the media, have slung enough mud, in terms of this particular issue.
You made it all about Donald Trump. We really couldn’t care less about the way Donald Trump is governing for America. We were concerned with the way Australia is being governed under an Albanese government. And the situation is not going to get any better going forward. It is not going to get any better.
It might be time for Jane Hume to gut the chicken.
The Coalition is not coping.
Jane Hume said on Friday that you don’t read the entrails until you gut the chicken, in response to a leadership question and well, if the chicken is Peter Dutton, then the chicken is done.
The list of who is left is Angus Taylor, Andrew Hastie and it seems Dan Tehan.
Labor staffers are crying (with relief) – there was a lot of people worried within the campaign even as late as today.
But there is also a hell of a lot of jubilation.
They also decided they didn’t need to win the teal seats – and it cost Peter Dutton his seat.
How are the teals going?
With half of polling booths returned, Zoe Daniel is ahead of Tim Wilson with a comfortable margin/
Monique Ryan has seen a 3% swing to her so far.
It seems like the Coalition vote will end up in with a two in front of it the way things are going
Grogs looks at the vote
Greg Jericho
Chief Economist
All the news channels have now called it – The ALP will be returned and now it just about the final numbers. Every Lib on TV is saying “pre-polls!!!!!” And sure they might swing a bit to the LNP, but nowhere near enough, and probably not enough in many seats to make a difference
The AEC website tells it thus:
With 22% of the vote counted, the ALP has a swing of 2.7%
The Liberal Party has a negative swing of 3.27%
LNG in Qld is down 1.51%
Greens is up .59%
But seats wise things are less rosy for the Greens – they are a chance to lose all the seats in Qld
Let’s look at the states:
NSW:
ALP: +2.22%
LNP: -4.97%
Nats: -0.82%
Greens: +1.76%
Vic: (which was meant to be a slaughter for the ALP)
ALP: +1.38%
Libs: -2.86%
Nats: +1.19%
Greens: +.49%
QLD – LNP homeland
ALP: +3.72%
LNP: -5.05
Greens: -.48%
SA:
ALP: +4.03%
Libs: -7.25%
Nats: +0.28%
Greens: 1.21%
Tas
ALP: +8.38%
Libs: -8.47%
Greens: -0.81%
There’s of course some independents swings and One Nation and individual swings, but wow. That is a smashing.
A total rejection of Peter Dutton’s leadership.
Now we start the narrative of what went wrong/right.
It is clear Nuclear was a dud, work from home a big dud and the total flip flopping and lack of policy nous was a huge dud.
Did Albanese win or Dutton lose? Clearly the ALP’s lift in primary votes suggests voters were happy to go from the Libs to the ALP (especially in Qld and Tasmania). So this pretty much puts any suggestion of his leadership being in any danger well on the back-burner.
Dutton looks a big chance to lose his seat. Not that it would matter – his career is over either way. And now the decision of the Liberal Party is whether they think the problem is they were too woke (yes many think that) or is there anyone left in the party who can appeal to the centre.
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