LIVE

Sat 3 May

Australia Institute Live: Election 2025 results. As it happened.

Amy Remeikis – Chief Political Analyst

This blog, much like the 2025 election, is now closed.

The Day's News

On Queensland

Jim Chalmers is saying on Dickson that Ali France would be “feeling courage” given the results.

Bonner is looking good for Labor, as is Leichardt.

Labor quietly confident they have won Dutton’s seat.

A chat to Mike Bowers at the Labor HQ and he says there is a cheer every time the numbers come up for Peter Dutton’s seat.

He is not doing well. In fact Labor sources are pretty sure they “have it”

Friends of the Blog in the Coalition side say that things are “not good” and Peter Dutton isn’t really talking to anyone (he is at a hotel with his family)

There is no path for the Coalition to win this

The question now is only major or minority for Labor. That’s it. There is no way the Coalition forms government here.

Labor HQ party is feeling all the feels

The New Daily Photogapher-At-Large Mike Bowers is stationed at Labor HQ.

It seems the mood is quite buoyant.

Election 2025. Election night function at Canterbury-Hursltone Park RSL club in Sydney for the Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. Photo: Mike Bowers for The New Daily
Albo Pale Ale chilled and ready for the party faithful. Photograph by Mike Bowers for The New Daily

James McGrath and James Paterson, two Liberal senators are both struggling on their respective panels.

McGrath has run many a campaign – and you can tell by how defensive he is getting that things are not going well for the Liberals behind the scenes either.

Ali France is still ahead in Dickson with more than half the booths being counted

With 23 of the 40 booths returning, Ali France is STILL ahead in Dickson.

Her margin is falling back, but she is still managing to hold her lead

Jacqui Lambie is doing very, very well. She is asked her view of the campaign and says:

I think Labor has been the bigger and smarter outfit and have done a lot better. They look like they want to run. Liberals do not. They have been slipping over the last few weeks and they are not coming out with your policy and your costings still towards the end, that is just ridiculous. What were they expecting?

If you want to govern but you do not want to tell is how you would do that. That is ridiculous. I think they have lost, people who thought they may have voted for them, I think the last week they lost quite a lot.

It is so early in the vote it is a bit too early to be getting very excited. Get a bit excited, but don’t think this done done yet.

Jim Chalmers is saying that he thinks that early voting will be STRONGER for the Coalition

We think early voting will be stronger for the Coalition than on the day voting is that we think are over represented in that group are older people, people who already own their own home and people who have had a history of voting for the LNP. I agree with what James is saying. We are encouraged, obviously, by these numbers coming in but we have the same caution we had at 6pm and whatever time it is now, we have the same caution and we expect that these good numbers that we have been getting so far will moderate.

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